Roll Call's Joshua Miller throws some cold water on Dem's rose-colored view of Florida 2012 as a target-rich environment

2012 Redistricting Process: 100 Map Milestone

http://youtu.be/ZV9cjAypnqg

Roll Call's Joshua Miller throws some cold water on Dem's rose-colored view of Florida 2012 as a target-rich environment.

One 2009 study from professors at Stanford University and the University of Michigan found that because of the nature of the geographic distribution of Democratic voters in Florida, the GOP would have a natural edge in a purely nonpartisan Congressional map.

Roll Call

Democrats Betting Big on Florida Redistricting

New Fair Districts Law Will Prevent Major GOP Gerrymander, but Huge Gains Are Not Likely

By Joshua Miller, Roll Call Staff

Nov. 8, 2011, Midnight

Florida is a state where, as millions of Disney World-bound children know, dreams come true.

But for national Democrats who hope a new redistricting law will help them pick up five or six House seats — and boost their prospects for winning back the House — the Sunshine State reality won’t be so warm.

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Steve Schale's infrequent blog is at http://www.stevenschale.com/ and is subtitled, Observations on the Land of 29 from one of its leading political strategists.

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Stuart Rothenberg http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/

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