Showing posts with label Bernie Sanders. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bernie Sanders. Show all posts

Friday, April 26, 2024

In 2024, a presidential election year, facts still matter in America. Despite how much Joe Biden consistently lies about his own life and voting record, serially misrepresenting it in a sad, pathetic attempt to place himself in the center of everything that matters or has has value in the USA, and its history since WWII, to appeal to people whom his own staff and supporters mock. Biden's false face and lies aren't fooling anyone! Compare Biden's lies about saving lives as a lifeguard with Ronald Reagan's actual reality as a teenager in the 1920's.Yes, I've got some thoughts!


It immediately set off alarms in my head, especially when Biden makes false claims about saving people's lives as a lifeguard.

Having had several friends in the past who were , in fact, real life guards who saved REAL LIVES, including along often-crazy Lake Michigan when I lived in Evanston and Wilmette, Illinois, in the latter case, but two blocks away from Lake Michigan...

It also made me recall what I'd seen in a great episode of the one series on PBS American Experience, that tends to be both the most honest factually and the one most down-the-middle politically, without the usual liberal cant and chic propaganda embedded into it that gets into almsot every other PBS program of the past 20 years. Unfortunately!

By the way, in case you want to read in its entirety the AP's 2005 article about then-New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, and his willful deception about his amateur baseball career, it's here

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/gov-admits-baseball-tale-untrue/#

He was someone I spoke to quite a few times in Washington DC when I lived and worked there from 1988-2003, when Richardson was first a New mexico congressman and later the U.N. Ambassador, before becoming governor.

I greatly admired him and his background, epsecially his serious foreign policy whehn he was just out of college and worked at the State Dept, then parlayed that into a very impressive career.

Then came news of his involvement in the Jeffrey Epstein sex scandal, which seemed to paint a worse picture of him at first. Every subsequent bit of news was EVEN WORSE, which is where things stoodf when he died last September. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bill_Richardson

Gov. Admits Baseball Tale Untrue 

November 25, 2005 / 8:58 AM EST / AP



You can see the following tweet thread in its entirety at https://x.com/hbbtruth/status/1783928222914150685


Video is at: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x7gbhw0

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Dave



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Wednesday, January 20, 2016

That troubling Trump supporter as "authoritarian" poll you're hearing about today - More proof that U.S. presidential polling is biased, unreliable and full of ideoological traps designed to prove... "something." But showing something once in a poll is not PROOF, just a one-time result. Reliable polling is getting the same/similar results over and over consistently thru objective means





The One Weird Trait That Predicts Whether You’re a Trump Supporter 

And it’s not gender, age, income, race or religion.

By Matthew MacWilliams
1/17/2016
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/01/donald-trump-2016-authoritarian-213533
It's not so surprising that such an ideological survey would first appear in Politico.
But it naturally leads to the questions not asked or mentioned, like...well...
Question: What's the one trait that predicts whether you're a Hillary supporter?
Answer: They are NOT interested in that answer.

(Though it once was, "And in the 2008 Democratic primary, the political scientist Marc Hetherington found that authoritarianism mattered more than income, ideology, gender, age and education in predicting whether voters preferred Hillary Clinton over Barack Obama.")
 
Politico is no more interested in revealing that than they are in knowing and publicly disclosing whatever the supposed one magic trait about supporters of Bernie Sanders is.
Especially if that were to be something like, oh, people who despite saying very liberal and progressive things in front of strangers and the news media, when it comes down to it, do NOT want to live near people who are similar to them, which is the most plausible answer one can infer from facts like Sanders' support being strongest in almost entirely 100% White enclaves around the country, something Hillary is currently exploiting in South Carolina with its large Black population.

In case you did not know, the only state in the U.S. with a lower percentage population of minorities than the state Sanders represents, Vermont, is Maine.
I know because I checked it out via the latest census info a few months ago, and even found similar numbers on ye olde Wikipedia, though the latter says Montana instead of Maine, two states that could not otherwise be more dissimilar from one another.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_by_African-American_population

It doesn't bother me, per se, that people with particular biases have opinions and want to sound off on them, since everyone is free to believe whatever they want, however crazy or different from my own POV it might be. After all, it's a long campaign...
But what I hate seeing and find troublesome is the way this story is already being played up nationally as evidence of... well, "something."
But all it really is is a SINGLE snapshot in time.

It's like predicting the Miami Dolphins making the NFL playoffs every year based on them frequently beating the Patriots the past few years when they have been one of the best NFL teams. 
But in those years when they do beat the Patriots -almost always at home- they STILL fail to make the playoffs, don't they? (This year proved that all over again!)
 
Experienced football fans who have some real knowledge and historical perspective, like political junkies with the same qualities, know that one result is often an outlier. 
What you need to see is consistency (of effort) and results.  
Results plural.

Right now it's a theory that will not be PROVEN until it can be successfully replicated in multiple objective polls. And the article doesn't even have any links to check the poll numbers and questions yourself.  
WTF?

We seem to be at the point where someone who wants the public to believe something in particular about a candidate, and try to be seen as above reproach, and merely relying on cold hard numbers, can write something ascribing far-reaching significance...after just one poll.
Well, it doesn't seem like anything resembling polling Best Practices to me.

And now that you think about it, if this sort of designed poll is such a great thing, how come we never heard from the U.S. news media about the results of the same designed poll in 2008 and what it supposedly "said" about Hillary's supporters?
Why am I only hearing about it eight years later?
Here's more irony. T
oday, hours after seeing lots of tweets about the above, I saw this:




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